Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. But just not overwhelminly. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. 1. In 1998 Hanson contested the seat of Blair, winning 36% of the primary vote but losing to the Liberals (who got 21%) under Australia's system of preferential voting. The WA and QLD L/NP parties are also not cutting through (as opposed to 2019) and the only seats which are definitely safe are seats like Cook, Kennedy and Clark, where the local member is so entrenched they wont lose until they retire, resign or die. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS Washington, DC 20463. I predict Coalition to win 74-78 seats. Authorised by Clive Palmer. Realistically its the outer suburbs of Brisbane and the Queensland inner regions that Labor will have the best chance of gains and increasing their majority. 2. Ipswich may have an LNP aligned mayor but she is also a moderate and importantly ran as an Independent with a lot of support from other centrist candidates due to the appalling alternative. Those that entered retirement and were now well off, were generally no longer animated by issues of job-security or industrial relations, but instead became fixated on their retirement, investment portfolio and inheritance. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. Walt Secord MLC - announced 19 August 2022; Adam Searle MLC - lost preselection 15 September 2022; Shaoquett Moselmane MLC - did not nominate for endorsement; Guy Zangari MP - announced 17 October 2022; Paul Lynch MP - not preselected November 2022 Electorate Officer to Hon. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. Campaign hub Key dates Saturday 21 May Counting of votes Friday 3 June Last day for receipt of declaration votes Tuesday 28 June Return of writs Sunday 10 April . Could it be that farmers are overusing the water that is available? No more so than Labor MP Milton Dick, who just happens to be the younger brother of Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick. Updated: 21 April 2022 The AEC publishes enrolment statistics on a regular basis to show the number of Australians enrolled nationally, and by state/territory and division. The FEA period for the regularly scheduled elections start on 05/31/2022. The Greens candidate Elizabeth Watson-Brown is a well known architect and has appeal to the middle class voters of the electorate. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Electorate profile. It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. year at Oxley Christian College. Stronger Communities Round 8 - EOIs now Open! However before any of your suggestion can happen. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. Labor paying $1.03 to win on Sportsbet, Coalition $10.00. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. In 1996, the seat became most well known for controversial social conservative MP Pauline Hanson who was elected as a Liberal-turned-independent, but the seat was heavily redistributed in 1997, splitting her main support base of Ipswich between Oxley and Blair. Well !? Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Candidates are listed using Blair Labor MP Shayne Neuman has been difficult to dislodge and avoided being thrown out in 2013. It would be like me calling you a fascist conservative Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? Those booths in the City of Ipswich have been divided into four parts. Madura McCormack @maduramccormack less than 2 min read April 20, 2022 - 12:00AM QLD Politics The 1949 incarnation's best-known member was Bill Hayden, the Labor Opposition Leader between 1977 and 1983, when he resigned under pressure the same day that the 1983 election which swept Bob Hawke to power was called. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! 91.47% counted . Chetan Sahai Candidate for Sydney. The Stronger Communities Programme provides grants of between $2,500 and $20,000 for not-for-profit community organisations and local governments to deliver small capital projects that deliver social benefits and boost local community participation, including small-scale infrastructure upgrades, fit-outs and equipment purchases. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. Community Development jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. In 2019, it had not only been globalisation which had been a perceived threat to job-security in the region, action against climate change had been at a fever pitch in the election, Coalition and the micro-parties took advantage of this while Labor didnt offer a compelling vision of opportunity for QLDs regions. Steven Miles IS ABSOLUTELY the national champion Wanker. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. from 2000 to 2004. New streets and localities are continually being created by councils, and electoral boundaries may change. ", The promotional page adds a quote: "You should be free to think for yourself and express your beliefs and lawfully live out those beliefs without fear of retribution, losing your job or having your reputation attacked.". Who are the candidates for election in 2022? In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. Surely?. As the great sage Richo says Never hang onto a mug. Home; News. They were furious at Labor for what they perceived to be an abandonment of their blue-collar base for metropolitan progressives at a time their jobs became increasingly vulnerable. Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]. The bookies must seem to think the vote will blow back hard in Labors favor in this seat. The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Member of the Speaker's Panel from 4.8.2021 to 11.4.2022. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. The teals and Greens seats arent likely going to be won by Labor now they have got them. Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. The seat has moved away from Labor in recent years (Like the overlapping state seats) and Fraser was actually the incumbent prime minister in 1975. Remember the lessons of 1993 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. ANCESTRY. Booth results map Activate. Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. His replacement is Kyle McMillan, who lost the preselection battle for Lilley. Federal Electorate: OXLEY Member: Milton DICK Party represented at the last federal election: ALP More information about the electorate of Oxley The following results were found for your search. Polls dont decide elections voters do. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. It is likelihood that One Nation and UAPs adoption of the negative sentiment surrounding Covid measures throughout the pandemic will strongly play out in SE QLD in the election. It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Labor's vote ranged from 40.7% at the Good News Lutheran School in Middle Park to 78.9% at St Mark's Catholic Primary School in Inala. 1050 First Street, NE That was due to Pauline Hanson, who was nominated as a Liberal candidate but disendorsed during the campaign. 2022 0 145. . And 1977 was affected by the 1975 circumstances. Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022; Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Party positions. Nigeria's 2023 presidential election -- described as the nation's most hotly contested since the end of military rule in 1999 -- is taking place amid a backdrop of economic troubles and . There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Oh no please dont be fooled by the margin, Remember this did flip in 1996 even with Pauline Hanson being dis-endorsed, I am predicting a 1975-1996 style wipe-out for Labor in QLD, the LNP is likely to match Newman 2012 levels at the federal election. Hanson contested the new seat of Blair, which now covered Ipswich, which had previously been included in Oxley. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. Blair was super marginal at this election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019. 2022 federal election Division finder - NSW Division finder - Vic. You can: Select a Federal Electorate for: the current member and party a map and profile of the electorate a list of all localities within that electorate I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. 2022 United Australia Party. Australian Election Archive A comprehensive archive of federal elections statistics since 1901, and state and territory statisticssince 1990. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. from 2000 to 2004. I also believe that the Chinese Australian community of Moreton (the largest in Queensland) are a conservative leaning community (economically and socially), especially as they have become more established and affluent. People were saying Labor had overachieved in Victoria before the election and look what happened. Customer Service Representative, Daycare Teacher, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Certainly not Lilley. Do you want to save current progress? After forming her own political party, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Hanson contested and lost the newly created seat of Blair at the 1998 election. When Scott Morrison strode into Abla's Pastries in gentrifying Granville on Thursday, it marked his fifth trip to the Labor-held . The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. View Original Notice? Defended the Democratic Senate majority. Unfortunately for him, there are almost no marginal Labor seats available in QLD. Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. In 1961 the Labor Party defeated the Menzies government's Health Minister Donald Cameron, much to the surprise of Labor's candidate, little known Queensland Police Constable Bill Hayden. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 4042 Ipswich is over 60% of the seat unless the boundaries are different this is a reliable seat for Labor most times.With an expected alp swing in Queensland this is a Labor hold. Most people around here in SEQLD seem to love Scott Morrison at least that is the feedback I have been getting on Facebook, the only people that dont seem to like him are young folks. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Independent Oxley I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. Scott held the seat for the remainder of the Hawke/Keating government, up to the 1996 election. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. Milton Dick is a nobody at best and a regressive millstone at worst. Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. (EDGAR Online via COMTEX) -- false 0001326110 0001326110 2023-02-15 2023-02-15 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, DC 20549 FORM 8-K. If they are really so shit hot , why not let one of them have a crack ?. President of Federal Young Labor. Crime scene visits by juries Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? Now federal senators are . How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. DEMOGRAPHICS. I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. Her hopes fell short at the 1998 election, where One Nation only managed to elect a single Senator, despite a national result of over 8%. Federal LNP Senators. It is my observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of government overreach during the last term. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. Hayden later served as a minister in the Hawke Government before becoming Governor-General in 1989. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. Alex Chapman / Federal Election / Updated 20.05.2022 Millions of Australians are heading to the ballot box on Saturday to decide which government will hold power for the next three years. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. trips is puerile, & irrelevant. While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. He is frequently in Blair as you can see in his social media and he relocated the senate office to Speingfield to focus on this seat and Oxley. Greens movement Toggle. Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. John Notes: Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is . Booths have been divided into five areas. This story is written in a personal capacity. ", Mr Green's name has since been removed, with the page now stating: "Hear from Sen. Amanda & Sen. Scarr about how you can become involved in the federal campaign. You have entered an incorrect email address! The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . Sound jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party State Conference (Qld.) Support James. They were furious at the Coalition, who arguably made their jobs vulnerable via neoliberal policies. Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. Oxley was traditionally based on the regional city of Ipswich, though these days Ipswich is less regional and more part of greater Brisbane. Most of the so called marginals will be called quickly. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. if Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat. WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. Well we all know who is going to win this fight Mother Dick !!. Oxley Party Candidate Votes % % National: Melinda Pavey: 25,115 51.74 0.93 Labor: Susan Jenvey 9,904 20.40 6.28 Greens: Arthur Bain 6,179 12.73 2.39 cheers WD, Just to clarify something. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}273632S 1525559E / 27.609S 152.933E / -27.609; 152.933, This article is about the current federal electorate. 1- The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. Maybe there should be a thread just for general election soothsaying. After Bob Hawkes win, Hayden was appointed Foreign Minister. The 19.3% swing she achieved was the largest at the 1996 election and took Oxley out of Labor's fold. First, mathematically they *need* to win seats because they already start out below 76 because of the redistribution. His party sent out fliers to almost everyone here. If Labor want to turn their fortunes around, they may do well to parachute someone with leadership potential into this seat (someone much more compelling than Chalmers). The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. Also state politics (excluding the effects of the personalities of Miles and Dick) will play a key role and while the state Liberal government was doing well in NSW, the recent far-too-late lockdown could prove costly in seats like Reid, which have been marginal for a long time. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. ), Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 34 polling places used in 2019, the Liberals polling well in the Centenary suburbs in the north of the electorate, but Labor dominant further south. Couldnt agree with you more. Please dont . Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. Kyle McMillen will run for the Liberal National Party in the seat of Oxley after Chris Green resigned just days before the formal launch of his campaign. The composition of industry and employment is becoming more diverse including more independent trades people, as well as white-collar workers who commute into the city and now might also have the affordance to work-from home. Australians are voting for the next federal government. Oxley. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences. Our People Toggle. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. This is a little surprising given how marginal the seat is. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? Hanson was a prominent independent MP and, in 1997, founded the One Nation party in support of her political views. There will be a swing to Labor here so this seat will not be in contention. Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. The suggestion Labor give up Queensland is laughable. Disorder can be creative, & order can become uninteresting. Booths in the City of Brisbane have been split into South-East and North. Hs, Reid isnt a contest. Hanson appeared on the ballot paper as a Liberal, but had been disendorsed by the party during the campaign for remarks she made concerning Aborigines. Facebook for the Australian Greens; YouTube for the . Additionally the PHON vote will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP. Its funny Daniel condemns Anastasia Palaszczuk trip to Japan but doesnt mention Scott Morrison took a leisure trip through England. Officeholders. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 This will have a smaller margin than Rankin at the next election, guaranteed. Hi SEQ observer. Although as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade. 8 . On the other hand Albaneses centrist small target approach and campaigning on jobs seems to be landing well with anyone I speak with in QLD (even though I find it weak and wish hed push for meaningful progressive reforms).