Pretty easy when the opposing team is playing prevent defense every game. Throughout the first six weeks of the season, Hurts has accumulated over 1800 total yards and 13 TDs, but is 28th in the league in QBR. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 [] decent, but as we all know, many of those numbers came from garbage time, which seems to be an occurring theme for Hurts throughout the [], [] will be quick to tell you that a lot of the Eagles passing success has come in garbage time. Also, earning a gig as Kirk Cousins go-to receiver on meaningless drives is a wise career move. Under five minutes [to go], more than a two score game (17-plus point lead).. In the end, I think the numbers suggest that - like most things Cousins - his garbage time stat padding is more complicated and nuanced than his detractors OR supporters would probably like to believe. That 92 percent mark is an NFL-high. Some believe that Hurts has shown enough to warrant a longer leash with an improved roster; others are already clamoring for Malik Willis or Carson Strong in next years draft. Those quarterbacks were: Peyton Manning in 2004, when the Colts went 12-4. At least not as much as second or third-tier running backs on borderline Wild Card teams that go into the tortoise formation to preserve their victories like Drake and Gaskin. 35 epicfailsman973 Chargers 4 yr. ago I am sure no one thinks one of the greatest receivers of all time is just a garbage time producer. Youre sure to learn a ton about the teams offensive philosophy. For example, teams down by between four and six points in the fourth quarter call pass 72 percent of the time. On the other hand, some of those same QBs do win and have more success than Kirk historically has. As soon as I find Locks, Ill be sure to share it. Although they passed him up, why not ship a 1&3rd round pick for him Send them Foles along with it. **And frankly, since the Cousins narratives tend to ignore any/all context, it seems appropriate to do so here as well. At 46 percent, the Chiefs rank as the run-heaviest team. Well, now the Vikings quarterback is being referred to as the Emperor of garbage time.. Everytime Derrick Henry played this team, you could expect him to have a big day. This will allow quite a few garbage time fantasy points through the air. However, on offense you have to help your defense by running the ball, controlling the clock and moving the chains. .Houston desperately needs to start spending on defense. Watson averaged 4,000 yards passing and 26 tds the prior couple of seasons when the Texans made the playoffs.In your *expert* opinion what was the reason an average QB put up probowl numbers and lead his team to the playoffs the prior 2 seasons? The only running back on our list. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Who was NFL MVP in 2021? There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. He had two of his best games in the Tennessee Titans catastrophic losses to the Cincinnati Bengals (8-128-1 for Davis, the touchdown coming at the end of a shocking blowout upset) and Cleveland Browns (11-182-1). NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Notice how high the fourth quarter pass rates are when teams are trailing. Or is he an inconsistent performer who likes to feast on soft garbage-time coverage? Yet, we shouldnt read too much into per-carry averages when a running back is plunging into the heart of a defense that knows hes coming. In order to split up play-calling between garbage time and regular time, we must first determine which game situations fit each category. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. Both are probably true to some degree. Interpreted as: NHL average time on ice with a minimum of 51.25 games played per 82 team games leaders 2022. Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. Thats nearly double the league-wide 38 percent rate for teams ahead by four-to-six points in the fourth quarter. Theres no possible way you can go down the shore next summer without a Crossnet and now is your chance to win one. However, 44 percent of Cousins second-half touchdown passes (11) came when Minnesota was either trailing or leading by eight points or less. Theyve been up in arms that people arent praising Matt Ryan more. Asking much too much. Watson is like Stafford, a great talent, who coaches get too greedy with, rather than blending in with a total team effort. A QBs stats are misleading, in a sense. Related | Kirk Cousins Contract Details, Salary Cap Impact, and Bonuses, Over the last three seasons, Kirk Cousins has completed a whopping 75.6% of his garbage-time passes for 13 touchdowns. After all, there are some very good, and very successful, QBs that have similar garbage time numbers to him, so I don't think one can clearly tie team success (or lack thereof) to meaningless QB volume stats. He and the organization failed. Honestly, how many quarterbacks in todays NFL dont benefit from such accommodating circumstances? Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. Outside of that, he ranks 15th overall in yardage, 17th in TD, and 12th in (fewest) INT percentages. Because there were quite a few records to wade through, I then cut anyone with fewer than 500 pass attempts over those three seasons. Meaning, when the game is already out of hand and the only thing standing in the way of a Vikings defeat is the remaining minutes on the game clock, THAT is when Cousins comes alive. Davis overall numbers and first-round pedigree should attract free agent suitors this offseason, but hes generally invisible when the rest of the Titans offense is clicking. Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. Its important to note that, for the sake of this piece, I define garbage time as whenever the Vikings face a three-possession deficit at any point in the second half of a game. Kansas City). Only four quarterbacks in NFL history have finished a season with more than 4,500 passing yards, more than 30 touchdowns, fewer than 10 interceptions and an average of more than 8.5 yards per pass. So if you want to rag on him for being a garbage time king, go for itjust don't forget that he's one of many petty kings in the NFL realm. Incoming Cousins is a stat padder comments. That can result in lots of carries and yards. ) to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. Lock completed just 55.7% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt in situations where opposing defenses generally ease off the throttle and allow some easy completions over the middle. Brian Flores Defense: Overview and Additional Resources, The Vikings Should Prioritize D.J. Ive taken the liberty of diving deeper into each scenario: >> Read More: Report: Eagles are officially OUT on QB Deshaun Watson. Taysom Hill was the only other active quarterback with rookie draft pick Ian Book a healthy scratch, but Hills foot injury this week limited him to just one practice session and the Saints had no plans of getting him on the field. The following production comes when the players team isleadingby 16 points in the second half. Pick a team in the above chart and scan across its rankings in each of the three categories. All Rights Reserved. PLAY. The Broncos were none too pleased. In conclusion, plays that take place during the following game situations have been deemed garbage time: (1) Final two minutes of the second half, (2) while trailing in the fourth quarter, (3) while ahead in the second quarter, (4) down by 21 or more points at any time, (5) down by 14 or more points after the first quarter, and (6) up by 21 or more points in the second half. It's the NFL. It didnt matter and they lost 40-29. Football, has been, and continues to be, a team game. Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, Drew Lock, and Matthew Stafford all attempted more throws than Cousins last season when their teams trailed by at least 16 points in the second half of a contest. So if we (arbitrarily) think of Matt Ryan as #1 among full-time starters, KC ranks 12th (and 20th overall) for percentage of attempts thrown in garbage time. One of the main talking points centered around Hurts has been when he generates most of his yardage. The entire process takes 30 seconds and youre in. See the passing statistics by player for the 2021 NFL season. Garbage time is any time when the trailing team doesn't make a comeback. The Thanksgiving night game four days away (roughly 100 hours, if youd rather look at it that way). Is Davis underutilized in an offense loaded with other weapons? The Eagles are now six weeks into the Nick Sirianni/Jalen Hurts era, and there are perhaps more questions now than there were before the season. Report: Broncos Were 'Livid' at Ravens for Stat-Padding in Garbage Time. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. Ahead in the fourth quarter Picking up where we just left off, teams ahead on the scoreboard in the fourth quarter have pass rates significantly below league average. The 2022 NFL Offensive Play Selection statistics are a summary of all offensive plays from scrimmage excluding punts, field goal attempts and plays nullified by penalty. Teams down by one-to-three points throw 69 percent of the time. Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen Sign up for the Saints Wire newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. Matthew Stafford was sacked 12 times when the Lions were trailing by two scores, which is troubling. So, where does the Eagles signal-caller accumulate most of his stats? When games are within one score, Hurts seems to be inaccurate and indecisive with the ball. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. The losers usually have to keep struggling and striving until that last DFS-altering, point spread-ruining, over-clearing, Kirk Cousins-enriching touchdown. Its hard to be as bad as the Texans are when your quarterback is playing as well as Watson is, but the Texans found a way. Matt Ryan had far more attempts than any of the others, and guys like Rodgers and Brady played all 48 games. Also, continue to visitPro Football Networkfor NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. Whether that's by design or due to Hurts bailing on plays early is another conversation. Its broad enough to include every situation in which the game is totally out of hand, the defense has started sitting back in prevent mode, and an opportunistic quarterback can begin fluffing his stats with short passes. Age: 26 (27 on 7/27/23) Playing time: 16 games (15 starts), 969 defensive snaps (92.2% of team total), 50 special teams snaps (12.2% of team total) Key statistics: 90 tackles, 6 tackles for loss . 6 free-agent quarterbacks the Vikings could sign in 2021. Those quarterbacks were: Peyton Manning in 2004, when the Colts went 12-4. Yea if your team is badypure gunna spend a lot of time in garbage time. Its cost us wins. The same concept can be applied to teams that are run heavy under normal circumstances. Need a desperation No. Almost immediately, really, with Trevor Siemian lobbing a touchdown pass to Marquez Callaway from 26 yards out just 11 seconds into the fourth quarter. XFL Fantasy Football Rankings Week 2: Josh Gordon, Jeff Badet, Max Borghi, and More, Final Fantasy PPR Rankings for the NFL Playoffs: Tony Pollard, Ezekiel Elliott, James Cook, and More, NFL All-Time RB Records: Season and Career Leaders, College football Week 6 live reactions, results, and takeaways. Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. AFC . That can result in lots of carries and yards. Most of Coopers late-game catches came from Dak Prescott or Andy Dalton. It turns out that big-name running backs on powerhouse teams dont benefit much from garbage-time production. Were aware of it. We arent asking for you to do anything besides make your pick on the Eagles-Raiders game below andVERIFYyour pick for a chance to win. Without removing the garbage-time production for the other quarterbacks throughout the rest of the NFL, Cousins 100.85 passer rating would have ranked 11th in 2020. Its not so much about Are they throwing lots of touchdown passes? as Is the TEAM scoring touchdowns, kicking field goals, and ensuring good field position? Despite his stats (which would suggest a top 10 offense), they actually didnt score a lot of points. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. Television. Thats actually a high pass rate when you consider play-calling with larger leads. Well not really but the Love Boat crew is on an off-season journey to deliver top Minnesota Vikings content until the draft! Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. Five of these seven touchdown throws happened during. Mullens had a knack for producing fourth-quarter scoring drives that cut the 49ers deficits to 27-13 or 34-24 in the waning minutes in 2020. The stats also show that he's prone to running more frequently in close games. The Minnesota Vikings have been involved in zero games with garbage time "opportunities." You can probably feel this in your bones as every Vikings game to date in 2021 is anxiety-filled. NFL and Fox Sports 1 made a joint decision to choose Nolan as the new host. Victor Williams is the host and producer of The Philly Pod and one of the co-founders of The Liberty Line. When the Cardinals beat the Cowboys, 38-10, for example, Drake rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter. Could there be factors other than the fear of an impending loss that enter into the equation? Somehow, Cousins employers are always fooled by the statistical padding and sign up for another overpriced tour of duty. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. Get box score updates on the Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints football game. A popular one around the DN,. That means that 87 percent of the scores Cousins threw in the second half of Minnesotas final 10 games did not happen during garbage time. Obviously, both teams are in garbage time.. My guess? The percentages youre seeing are the NFL-wide pass rates (percentage of play calls that are pass) in several different scenarios. For all those who are saying deshaun watson is getting his stats in garbage time They were behind constantly and had to play catch up the whole season. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. Possibly one of the worse defense in NFL. Not sure what fitz should do. 2021 NFL Season. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) Kirk Cousins. Elementary, my dear Watson. My favorite comment comes towards the end of a reply from @omnicomin. When there is no way a team is going to come back and win. The garbage time conundrum: when are most of Jalen Hurts stats generated? Up four-to-six points, the pass rate falls to 38 percent. All News & Analysis. I am sure no one thinks one of the greatest receivers of all time is just a garbage time producer. The Real Housewives of Atlanta The Bachelor Sister Wives 90 Day Fiance Wife Swap The Amazing Race Australia Married at First Sight The Real Housewives of Dallas My 600-lb Life Last Week Tonight with John Oliver. The last way I chose to examine the data was by how one's rate stats in garbage time compare to his equivalent overall stats during the 3-year window. The final score made this game look closer than it was the New Orleans Saints trailed the Philadelphia Eagles 33-7 going into the fourth quarter. Otherwise, though, fourth-quarter play-calling is pretty useless when trying to determine a teams offensive philosophy. Yet, the Rams are basing their Stafford evaluations and hopes on many things that happened in non-competitive losses. As shown earlier (not thats a big revelation or anything), teams tend to throw the ball more when playing from behind and vice versa. Depending on how one ranks the importance of such things (not to mention weighing rate vs. bulk stats), I think a strong argument can be made for placing KC anywhere in the statistically top 6-12 QBs in the league over that span - in roughly the range I think the vast majority of fans would place him based on their feelz about him. But, at least on a quantitative level, can we really define it? Every opponent has to be weighed on their own merits, and the Bills have enough firepower to give New Orleans trouble. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. And of course, there are those still holding out hope for Deshaun Watson whos saga is nowhere near a resolution. That would be the highest rate by any QB in a season in NFL history. 5. And what about first-half blowouts? Man Stafford isnt even elite in this stat anymore, Offense so bad, cant even Statpadford anymore. Watsons performance this season was unprecedented, because ordinarily when a quarterback is playing at an MVP level, his team is winning. I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. When do you declare garbage time in time and points differences? Matt Ryan in 2016, when the Falcons went 11-5. Although garbage time is and will continue to be a key factor in fantasy football, adjusted pass/run ratios will help you make the best possible decisions when it comes to making lineup, trade, and waiver decisions. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Keeping in mind that the overall NFL average for pass rate is 60 percent, consider that teams call pass a whopping 78 percent of the time during the final two minutes of the first half. That means we move these snaps to the garbage time pile. #ad #manscapedpod. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Photo Credit: Brad Rempel (USA TODAY Sports). Sad. [], [] Tua Tagovailoa to a new franchise in just his second year. These are more to be used as reference tools, but you will be able to successfully correlate many of these numbers to our earlier charts. This is the Stafford syndrome. So basically a three possession game at any time in Q3 or a two possession game at any time in Q4*. . Hell yeah! Also, continue to visit. 2017-18. Its broad enough to include every situation in which the game is totally out of hand, the defense has started sitting back in prevent mode, and an opportunistic quarterback can begin fluffing his stats with short passes. Teams up by one-to-three percent pass only half the time. Bill OBrien destroyed this roster with his completely inept GM work. Cookie Notice By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. This is a subreddit for the NFL community. That means that 22.5% of his career pass attempts occurred when his Jacksonville Jaguars were getting blown out. He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. @PinchyBoy10 defines it as down three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. @mcsingh85 is in a similar boat. 2021-22. The yardage ranking is upper middle, along with other so-called kings of garbage time (Ryan, Stafford, etc. However, notice that pass rates rise rapidly from the second quarter on when the team trails by 14-plus. The Green Bay Packers took a 41-10 lead over the Bears late in the third quarter in Week 12, but Robinson caught 4 fourth-quarter passes and scored a touchdown in what became a 41-25 final. 2022 Draft, Draft Finder, Draft History. NFL . Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. Related | Dynasty Running Back Rankings: Top assets heading into 2021. Jalen Hurts has accounted for 40% of Eagles rush attempts (53 of 132). @omnicomin points out something many fail to realize: both teams can be in garbage time simultaneously. [Notes: 1) I am not a KC apologist; I think he is a good, not elite, starting QB who is prone to stretches of head-scratchingly bad play at times, and almost incapable of playing off script. So it might have been a better idea to say that Cousins was the Emperor of garbage time during the first six games of the 2020 season. More 2021 NFL Pages. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen. the portion of an NFL game where play-calling on both sides of the ball is disrupted by game situation. You would expect nothing less. That makes two Vikings being up so high the most impressive part of this. I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. Remember when Matt Flynn made 8 figures because of one (essentially) garbage time game in week 17? Siemian spent last season on the practice squad and looked like thats where he belonged in this outing. Whether it be his contract, his inability to win the big game on the road, or his record on Monday Night Football, Minnesota pigskin skeptics have no problem coming up with reasons why Cousins deserves a place closer to the rear of the NFL quarterback hierarchy. This will give us a much better definition of what garbage time really is. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. It is almost a guarantee Watson gets shipped out by McDaniels and Caserio so they can bring in their guy. The defense was terrible, despite having players like Watt, Mercillus and Cunningham, a tackling machine but they couldnt cover anybody. All-time Scores, Find a Score. Throughout his time as a starter with both the Minnesota Vikings and Washington Football Team, Kirk Cousins has consistently been able to put up some impressive numbers. For more information, please see our My preferred metric, ANY/A, has Kirk in 9th at +0.91just a shade behind Drew Brees (and Philip Rivers, both +0.99) - so yeah, it seems that some some pretty good QBs get the same types of bonuses that Kirk does. Carter II's journey from West Point to NFL, With great stats and a 4-12 record, Deshaun Watson had an unprecedented season, Aaron Rodgers has concluded his darkness retreat, Lamar Jacksons camp leaks some information to Stephen A. Smith, Report: Derek Carr wants $35 million per year, Darkness retreat over, decision time arrives for Aaron Rodgers, Michael Irvins lawyer is mad as hell that Marriott refuses to produce surveillance video, Former Chiefs teammates rip LeSean McCoy, defend Eric Bieniemy, Tua Tagovailoa turns to Judo to avoid head injuries when falling, XFL 3.0 debuts to significantly lower ratings than XFL 2.0, https://www.nfl.com/players/deshaun-watson/stats/situational.